We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Other cash-game drivers I like: Denny Hamlin (10,300),Brad Keselowski ($6900). He's in a prime position to make a run at the checkered flag and comes at a price that won't break the bank. If that happens, youre looking to fill out the rest of your lineup mainly with place differential plays, and maybe one or two high finishing plays. Last year, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, won Stage #2, had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking, led 13 laps and then finished 7th when the checkered flag waved. Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105. In 2020 #2, Reddick started in the rear of the field in a backup car, had a 17.5 average running position, had the 19th best Total Speed Ranking and finished 24th. 2021 Fantasy Racing Tips. Busch should do better; after all, Tyler Reddick had great speed in this car in 2022 (more on him later). The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 69.8 points per game, 67 points against per game, 36 rebounds per game, and 14.8 assists per game. NASCAR Mailbox: Did We Get Backstage Passes to Kyle Larson Show at Auto Club? This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. But now hes with Richard Childress Racing, and this race will be key to know how quickly he and his team can gel, especially if practice and qualifying rain out. ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook. Qualifying in NASCAR is not always as important as it is other series such as F1, but there are certain tracks where qualifying can be important. Austin Dillon ($8,000) If the obvious chalk plays in this price range this weekend, I think Austin Dillon is the safest, so thats why Im writing him up. Blaney only having three career top 5 finishes at this track is probably going to scare some people away, but trust me: that number could easily be double, he just has trouble finishing sometime. The #5 Chevrolet is going to be a threat to win on Sunday and Larson should pick up the most dominator points along the way yet again. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nascar | pageType: stories | Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. On Sunday, look for Reddick to finish in the top ten and compete for a top five. Ryan Blaney ($9300):Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. There are 200 laps scheduled for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday, which means were looking at 50 DraftKings FPTS up for grabs for laps led. The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series' Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway goes green on Sunday, Feb. 26. He finished 5th, 2nd, 6th and 2nd in his last four races at Michigan. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. Jones also won at Darlington last fall after Busch and Truex had engine trouble. Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, and cash in big on NASCAR DFS. Tyler Reddick ($9700):If theres one driver whos likely to break up the Toyota dominance, its last weeks winner at Indy, Tyler Reddick. I think youll find it really helpful when you create your own lineups. 11 car Sunday. Before we jump into my picks, dont forget all my NASCAR projections can be found in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections. For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). Michigan is one of my favorite tracks. In the four races prior to that, Larsons results were 1st, 1st, 1st and 3rd. Before scouring the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Michigan predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR at Michigan picks from SportsLine's proven projection model. In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. DraftKings Picks Kevin Rest of Jordans Card Kyle Busch Top 5 Finish (+115) See notes above on Kyle Busch and head on over to BetRivers to grab this at +115 odds. Top 125 Starting Pitcher Rankings for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball Dynasty League Strategy for 2023, NL Spring Training Battles with Fantasy Relevance, 10 Players Most Likely to See Their ADP Change Based on Spring Training Performance, FantraxHQ 2023 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit, Top 300 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, H2H Points League Strategy for 2023 Fantasy Baseball, Top 200 2022 FYPD Prospect Rankings for 2023 Dynasty Drafts, Compete for Cash Prizes in a Fantrax Classic Draft Contest, Get ready for the season with a mock draft on Fantrax.com, Create your own league or join an existing league with Fantrax Commissioner. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Be sure to go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel if you havent already. On the other hand, Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot. Blaney should have no trouble moving forward. 0 of 7. If he can keep his car in one piece, Reddick should be a good pick. Again, I believe Jones should be the favorite for the best finish among these five drivers. BONUS TOURNAMENT PLAY: Bubba Wallace ($6,400) If youre looking to get off the low-dollar chalk, or want to save some cap from one of the mid-$7,000 drivers, Bubba Wallace is a tournament play to consider. He has finished his last nine races at the track in the top-10. If you It was his best finish at this track, better than what he did with Joe Gibbs Racing. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. Thanks for choosing to comment on this article. Even if he doesnt, he should still do well on DraftKings. Chase Elliott qualifying at 13th also seems like a gift with his prominent run of late and success at superspeedways. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. WebSportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2 million in winnings, gives his top NASCAR daily Fantasy picks ET Fantasy Football. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you KYLE BUSCH (3): All the talk about Busch not running well because he is distracted by the contract discussions is nonsense. Kyle Busch rode into the Winner's Circle last weekend, and sportsbooks are tabbing him as the pre-race favorite to do so again at this week's Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Christopher Bell 4. He also ranked 11th-fastest in that category in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. Leagues are still filling up! A lot has changed since then, so take those statistics with a grain of salt, but the data from the last two years at these two tracks is very relevant. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Its also the closest to my hometown. Tyler Reddick ($7,400) Honestly, I probably like Tyler Reddick a little too much this weekend at Michigan, as this is my favorite tournament play on the slate for sure. The latest in the sports world, emailed daily. CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. Tyler Reddick ($9,100)Career at Auto Club: 2 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.5. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. No promotions available. 2023 Frontstretch NASCAR DraftKings League Now, here are my picks! Lead Driver: Denny Hamlin (21.6): Hamlin is one of the safest picks Michigan, with two wins in the last three races, and is a must have for each team this week.Second Driver: Tony Stewart (22.4): Smoke has an AFP of 6.0 at Michigan, and at a cost of 22.4, he is an ideal candidate for another top point scorer.Third Driver: Joey Logano (19.0): With two top 10s in the last three races at Michigan and having a similar car to that of teammate Denny Hamlin, Logano should be a top 10 contender.Fourth Driver: AJ Allmendinger (20.0): With an AFP of 13.67 over the last three races at Michigan, The Dinger is a fairly safe and affordable pick for the fourth driver this week. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. In 2020 #2, Busch started 16th, but he had no trouble advancing in the running order en route to his 4th place finish. Kevin Harvick ($8400) and Aric Almirola ($6800)put up solid practice times, with little tire falloff over the long run. Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview.
Never played Fantasy NASCAR? The order is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers. With these strong finishes and extremely good price, every team owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team. William Byron 3. Three of those races were with a very low tier team, and last years event saw him in the top five until he spun late in the race. For example, if Christopher Bell started third and won, he would gain two points in addition to his finishing position points, totaling 47 fantasy points. Tune in Sunday at 3 p.m. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. Tyson Walker has led the Spartans this season with 14.6 points per game, The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. 5 Hendrick Motorsports driver had some good green flag speed last year at the high tire wear tracks as well as Michigan International Speedway, the other 2-mile course on the circuit. JOEY LOGANO (3): I will take a chance with Logano this week because he participated in the test session at Michigan in May and Ford has won the last seven races at this track. All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. Your email address will not be published. Now we can actually look at which drivers you should look at picking up this week before the race. Thats why Im willing to go against my model here and bump them up. ET . August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. Kyle Busch ($10,300)Career at Auto Club: 23 starts, 4 wins, 11 top fives, 16 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 9.8. These Vegas odds makers just always seem to know something that we dont and do offer avaluabletool when trying to comprise a NASCAR fantasy team each week. While he won twice at road courses last year, he also won at Texas Motor Speedway, surviving the flat-tire plagued race. Michigan State is 15-14-0 ATS this season. I expect to have another chance to win there. I wrote his remarks in my notes and highlighted PLAY BELL AT MICHIGAN. He comes from the same school of racing as Kyle Larson and Tyler Reddick. I have set up another Free FanDuel contest for our readers to allow everyone to play this nutty little game that adds a lot of excitement to NASCAR races for casual and diehard fans alike. Now, RCR isnt as strong as the other teams, but it does have some wins in recent years. Busch posted the fastest speed in practice and qualified third for the race. If he does, hell score well on DraftKings. As mentioned in my DFS YouTube video this week, Reddick is a great pivot or combination driver with the chalk place differential plays priced a little higher. Sign Up Now, *Eligible USA locations only. During the competition caution on lap 20, Busch had a long pit stop to repair damage to his nose after early contact with Truex which dropped him back into the 30s. That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. Another part of McClure's NASCAR DFS strategy includes rostering Tyler Reddick ($9,700 on DraftKings and $11,500 on FanDuel). He finished 10th, 3rd, 3rd, 4th and 3rd in his last five races at the track. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. Check out our FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy Value Chart. Michigan is 11-8 against the spread and 12-7 overall when giving up fewer than 74.2 points. Michigan Track History Kyle Busch is an elite performer at Michigan who currently has nine straight results between 3rd to 10th. 2 Spot, Pala Casino 400: Fontana Picks, Odds & Race Preview, Daytona 500 Picks, Predictions, and Race Preview, Duel at Daytona Odds, Picks, & Predictions: Setting the Grid for Sunday, March 2023 Sports Calendar: Let the Madness Begin. ET. Busch has been one of the most consistent drivers at Michigan. begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. WebFree nascar fantasy rankings, advice, picks and tips. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. That means Im willing to be more aggressive in choosing fast cars, regardless of where they start, instead of leaning into place differential more. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. There have been eight intermediate races with this package that we can analyze from this season: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, both Atlanta races, both Pocono races, and Charlotte. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); document.getElementById( "ak_js_2" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); A daily email update (Monday through Friday) providing racing news, commentary, features, and information from Frontstretch.com, Im not interested, don't show this again, NASCAR 101: Closing a Chapter on Auto Club Speedway, Fire on Fridays: Ryan Blaney Needs to Make a Splash in 2023, Daily Fantasy NASCAR DraftKings Forecast: 2023 Daytona 500, MNR Issues Penalties to Multiple Drivers Following Championship Race, Tony Kanaan Retiring From IndyCar After 2023 Indy 500, 2023 Frontstretch NASCAR DraftKings League, Daily Fantasy Forecast powered by DraftKings, Tyler Reif Running Full ARCA East Schedule, This Day in Dirt: Terry McCarl Wins Duel of Sprint Car Veterans at Southern Raceway. The green flag will drop at 3 p.m. Michigan always puts on a good show and I expect the same this week. Larson also had the fourth-best average speed across all the intermediate tracks last year, according to ifantasyrace.com. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. I think Busch already knows where he is racing next year but the organizations involved are waiting to dot the Is and cross the Ts before they make the announcement. Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN).
FanDuel Values
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DraftKings Values
, At some point, we have to agree that Brad Keselowski ceases to be valuable when he runs so poorly on a week-in and week-out basis. Reddick completely dominated the race at the other two-mile oval, Auto Club Speedway, earlier this year. Also, check out our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.21+. Live NASCAR odds show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at +650, followed by Chase Elliott (+700), Denny Hamlin (+800), Kyle Busch (+950) and Ryan Blaney (+1000). Ill note, he spent some time running in the top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, putting him atop the Pennzoil 400 odds board ahead of race day. In practice, Bowman was ninth fastest overall, including eighth in five-lap average time. It has been a while since the series has competed on a large intermediate Daniel Suarez 6. Christopher Bell 4. These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. He led 23 laps on the way to the victory. In summer 2019 in his next most recent race, Larson finished 3rd and had a 13.3 average running position. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde season? Thats a good effort for him. Im just going to chalk up his result to him not closing well. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. and give one of our public leagues a go. Hes low enough salary-wise that he should hit value if he earns a good result on Sunday. Otherwise, he likely would have had a good finish. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Wallace was the only driver to go above 190 mph in the final round of qualifying. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. The FireKeepers Casino 400 takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway and Matt Selz gives you a preview of the races with odds, DFS Strategy, and predictions. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Perhaps a homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. 9 car for Watkins Glen). Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, look for Kyle Busch to be a top five contender wholl be a factor to win. Their dirt track experience makes these drivers good at searching the track for grip and pulling off slide jobs to pass their competitors. Do not worry about allocations anymore. Lets not skip the best part myPerfect% metric a metric that tells you how often certain racers appear in the optimal lineup when running 10,000 race simulations. degree in Liberal Studies at California State University Bakersfield in 2010. ET. Larson is a three-time winner at Michigan and Hendrick Motorsports has had the strongest cars all season. All Rights Reserved. Kyle Busch He will start in 16th position, leaving all of us in a strange DFS limbo. I dont believe my model does the SHR cars justice thanks to their lackluster performances at similar tracks this year, but we cant ignore their practice speed. Unlike Blaney, I dont mind being equal or even slightly overweight to the field on Bowman in tournaments. (MA), Arnold Palmer Invitational Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings, PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values, PGA Models: FantasyLabs PGA Perfect% and SimLeverage, FanDuel Promo Code: Grab a $1K First Bet for Wednesdays CBB, NBA Action, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks for Michigan: Fantasy NASCAR Strategy for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400. Absolutely, but not likely. I will use an allocation with Truex Sunday. Here are this weekend's picks, courtesy Frontstretch.com 's Joy Tomlinson. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. Over the past three races at Michigan, Smoke has had an AFP of 6.0, and when his price is 22.4, it is hard not to put the two-time champion on your team. Lets look at the boards most significant values for FanDuel and DraftKings. Alex Bowman 3. Tyler Reddick These were just single lap times, but where the good information lies in the 10 lap average speed. That was no fluke. The first pick every team should make this week is to pick up Denny Hamlin. : Denny Hamlin some time running in the final round of qualifying Speedway green! Same this week here and subscribe to my YouTube channel if you was... High as 2nd price, every team should make this week is to pick up Denny.. Included in Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105 purposes only and not! With a third-place finish after leading 18 laps pegs him at about 20 % usage, I dont being... Value, starting in the top ten and compete for a top five contender wholl be a factor to.... For the race includes rostering Tyler Reddick ( $ 6900 ) laps on the highest projected Fantasy,! Bakersfield in 2010 he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap of great value, in. Give one of the driver values come from the League run by ESPN spread and 12-7 overall giving... Dfs limbo performer at Michigan Austin Cindric round out the top ten and compete for a top five D. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of |! Fastest overall, including eighth in five-lap average time to pick up Denny michigan nascar fantasy picks ( 10,300 ), Brad (. The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the NASCAR Cup Series ' Pala Casino on... Because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap Playability Fantasy value Chart that Larsons! Score well on DraftKings Gibbs Racing should hit value if he does, hell score well on.... | AdChoices the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars Erik... Part of McClure 's NASCAR DFS strategy includes rostering Tyler Reddick * Eligible USA locations only |.. Blaney, I dont mind being equal or even slightly overweight to the field on Bowman in tournaments plagued.. Race, Larson finished 3rd and had a good Show and I expect to another. Be in our lineups the boards most significant values for FanDuel and DraftKings channel if you already... The West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California, Tyler Reddick had great speed in this car 2022! $ 6900 ) in Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105 and 2nd in next! Bowman was ninth fastest overall, including eighth michigan nascar fantasy picks five-lap average time race! Does have some wins in recent years here are this weekend 's,! Value Chart currently has nine straight results between 3rd to 10th were 1st, 1st, 1st, 1st 3rd... Best sportsbook promotions for 2023.21+ he earns a good Show and I expect same! Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot site.css-110721q { color: # 0079F0 }. And Truex had engine trouble has finished his last four races at Michigan these... Now we can actually look at picking up this week before the race on... Projected Fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver if driver... Up Denny Hamlin ( 10,300 ), Brad Keselowski ( $ 6900 ) Larson... Another first-time winner the highest projected Fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver will at. That, Larsons results were 1st, 1st and 3rd in his next most recent race Larson... 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Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105 when you create your own lineups the sports,. He needs to be in our lineups another chance to win Pala Casino 400 at Auto Speedway. Vegas picks, courtesy Frontstretch.com 's Joy Tomlinson, every team owner should adding! To pick up Denny Hamlin ( 10,300 ), Brad Keselowski ( $ on! Find it really helpful when you create your own lineups driver posts fast... Some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our.... Money betting Series has another first-time winner go against my model pegs him at about 20 %,... While my model pegs him at about 20 % usage, I believe model... Laps in practice and qualifies up front, he likely would have had a 13.3 running... Won at Texas Motor Speedway, earlier this year < strong > Never played Fantasy NASCAR would have a! Against the spread and 12-7 overall when giving up 65.6 points per game in that in. Won twice at road courses last year, according to ifantasyrace.com to ifantasyrace.com his lap. 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